After a Great Monsoon, Here’s What Experts Are Predicting for Arizona’s Winter

This summer’s monsoon season has been a thing of beauty. Across Cochise County and most of Southern Arizona, summer storms have brought a bounty of moisture, greener landscapes, and a welcome break from the relentlessly dry conditions of the last few years.

Now, weather forecasters say there could be even more good news ahead.

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El Niño Is Expected to Strengthen

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center reports that El Niño is expected to continue strengthening. Experts say there’s over a 90% chance that a strong El Niño will last through this fall and winter.

El Niño happens when the ocean waters in the tropical Pacific are warmer than usual. This change can affect weather across the United States, including here in Arizona.

READ ALSO: How Fast Lightning Can Reach You, According To Experts

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What It Could Mean for Cochise County

In the past, El Niño winters have usually brought more rain than normal to Southern Arizona. This weather pattern often shifts the Pacific storm track farther south, making winter storms more likely to reach Arizona.

That doesn’t mean it will rain every week, but forecasters say we’re likely to get more rain than usual. There’s also a good chance for more snow in our mountains, so we might see a nice dusting on the Huachucas and Chiricahuas.

READ MORE: How Super El Niño Could Transform Arizona's Monsoon Season

First snowfall of 2024 brings challenges and fun to Cochise County Arizona

A Winter Worth Watching

As with all things weather-related in Southeastern Arizona, experts are hopeful, but say this isn’t a guarantee.

Long-range forecasts can change over time, but if current predictions hold, Southeastern Arizona could be headed into one of its wettest winters in recent years.

If you loved this year's monsoon season, the possibility of even more rain, a bit of snow, and some cooler storm systems is certainly something to look forward to!